Nonpartisan Forecaster Identifies Growing Democratic Pickup Opportunities in House

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A nonpartisan election forecaster has shifted five House races in favor of Democrats, signaling a difficult midterm environment for Republicans defending their narrow House majority. The Cook Political Report, which provides analysis of elections and political trends, moved five seats in Democrats’ favor and one in favor of Republicans on April 7. Its outlook for midterms overall has Republicans currently holding 14 of the 17 seats rated as toss-ups—meaning either party could plausibly win them. Democrats need a net gain of three seats to win back control of the House, which Republicans have held by a slim margin since 2022. Cook Political Report senior editor Dave Wasserman said on X that Democrats are now “substantial favorites for control,” adding that Republicans “would need to win 76 percent of the Toss Ups to keep their majority.”...
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